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#1 |
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Lethal Camaro
Drives: 16 2SS, 71 Std, Suburban RTS Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Temecula, CA
Posts: 3,855
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Where We Are: Order Banks, Consensus, DOSP and more... (Updated 10/2)
Consensus:
Twice a month GM loads their "Estimated Shipments" into the order workbench. They determine how many of each product a dealer has "earned". Based on a "snapshot" of their inventory, they consider their "adjusted day supply" (ADS) to the national ADS. The dealer then reviews the estimated shipments and enters their 3 month forecast and requested quantities and submit to GM. Unless GM has more capacity at a factory than dealers request, the dealer is limited to what allocation they are assigned. Dealers can turn down allocation, and those units go to dealers that have requested more than GM estimated for them. Final Consensus: This is the amount of product the dealer gets after GM has reviewed their requested quantities. DOSP: Dealer Order Submission Process is the weekly order cycle. On Thursday dealers can place orders for units allocated to them. Orders must be placed by 9 PM Eastern Time Saturday. Basically they have a three day window to submit orders weekly. If you go to tour dealer and order on a Tuesday, it will actually not go to GM until Thursday. But if you order on a Sunday, you have to wait for the following week to get your order in on that coming Thursday. The weekly process consists of 4 stages. 1. Constraints Distribution - Dealers are informed on constraints to review before placing orders. 2. Dealer Order Submission - Dealers can order on Thursday, Friday or no later than midnight on Saturday. ( You can submit orders earlier but you don't know the constraints. A Constraint is a limit placed on a specific build configuration ) 3. The 4-Pass Process - GM will attempt to place each dealers orders on Mondays using a 4-Pass process. ( At this point a dealer may get more or less than was allocated if they asked.) 4. Dealer Review-You can review your placed orders for changes or replacements until Tuesday at 9pm ET. That's when the orders are sent for production. Order Entry Available: This is when GM Work Bench will allow you to build a car in the system. This isn't the same as submitting an order to GM. Mainly the dealer has time to craft the cars they might want ahead of GM assigning allocation. Order Status Codes: 1000 Order On Hold at Dealership 1100 Order Placed at Dealership 1101 Order Entered into System 1102 Order Entered via Web 2000 Order Accepted by Chevrolet 3000 Order Accepted by Production Control 3100 Order Available to Sequence (now becomes more stable) 3300 Order Selected and Scheduled for Production by Assembly Plant 3400 Order Broadcasted for Production (Internal Plant Order Produced) (Member orders have reached this point) 3800 Vehicle Produced 4000 Vehicle Available to Ship 4200 Vehicle Shipped 4300 Intermediate Delivery 4V03 Estimated Delivery Date 4800 Rail Ramp Unload 5000 Vehicle Delivered to Dealer 6000 Vehicle Delivered to Customer Where We Are: First Order Entries: 7/23/15 Intial Consensus: 8/11/15 First DOSP: 8/13/15 Highest Status Code: 3400 Order Broadcasted for Production: 10/2/15 First Known Target Production Week Moved from 10/5 to 10/12/15
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Last edited by Sledgehammer70; 10-02-2015 at 05:48 PM. |
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#2 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Drives: 1969 Corvair, 2018 Camaro T4 RS Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Detroit Metropolitan Area
Posts: 2,881
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Good detail! I had always thought it to be 3-pass process.
I wonder if the August 1 Initial Consensus is what I had thought was the Guide Number? Laborsmith |
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#3 |
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Lethal Camaro
Drives: 16 2SS, 71 Std, Suburban RTS Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Temecula, CA
Posts: 3,855
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To note: For Gen5 GM put a lot of contraints on what could be ordered. Most dealers got 1-2 V8 variants and the rest were V6 models.
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#4 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Drives: 1969 Corvair, 2018 Camaro T4 RS Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Detroit Metropolitan Area
Posts: 2,881
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That is the pattern. For both the C6 and the C7 there were early (first full mode year for the C6) restrictions on the Z51, which continue even now on the C7. I attributed them to CAFE, same engine but differently geared transmissions. Some have agreed with me but others have not. No one has offered an alternative explanation.
For the Gen5, Chevy assembled one V6 for every dealer, optioned as GM wanted. Four colors from the color palette. I attribute that to CAFE, but I could be wrong. I also attribute the delayed intro of the turbo four to CAFE, although the fact that this is a new engine for the Camaro vehicle line should be considered. Oops, they all are new engines for the Camaro. What was I thinking! All of this to say I agree and why I agree. Laborsmith |
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#5 |
![]() Drives: 2013 RY SS Conv. Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: south jersey
Posts: 228
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I wonder how they did it 40 years ago? Mailed the hand-written car orders to GM?
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#6 |
![]() Drives: 2013 Hyundai Genesis Coupe GT Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Northern Indiana
Posts: 258
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#7 |
![]() Drives: 2013 RY SS Conv. Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: south jersey
Posts: 228
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#8 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Drives: 1969 Corvair, 2018 Camaro T4 RS Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Detroit Metropolitan Area
Posts: 2,881
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For Jeep, my first order, the order was mailed. That was 1973.
Laborsmith |
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#9 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Drives: 2016 Hyper Blue 1SS Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: hampton roads
Posts: 2,763
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Thanks, after revisiting that leaked document it looks like most plant start ups were 1 month and 3 weeks after dosp with the cts and corvette being the exception.
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#10 |
![]() Drives: 2013 RY SS Conv. Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: south jersey
Posts: 228
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There was no "constraint" on my '77 RS when the factory ran out of white-letter tires. It was sent with Uniroyal blackwalls and a partial refund!
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#11 |
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Lethal Camaro
Drives: 16 2SS, 71 Std, Suburban RTS Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Temecula, CA
Posts: 3,855
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Constrains will mostly be around the engines and optioned items. Considering the 2SS comes stock with so many items, the first runs will likely be a low qty. I am sure Chevy had already started the parts orders to make the first run go quickly.
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#12 |
![]() Drives: '16 2SS Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Orange County CA
Posts: 720
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Is the image in the OP bad? I can't see it.
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#13 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Drives: 2016 Hyper Blue 1SS Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: hampton roads
Posts: 2,763
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So dealers should now know how many cars they will be allowed to order
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#14 |
![]() Drives: 2013 Hyundai Genesis Coupe GT Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Northern Indiana
Posts: 258
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