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Trying to make sense of any manufacturers allocation system is not easy but it often comes down to the district/zone share of nation. If certain model lines represent a disproportionate percentage of the district/zone sales and production of those models is down then the share of nation decreases. This then effects the entire areas earn and not just specific models. Selling a lot of any one model in the prior year doesn't necessarily translate into earning more allocation of that model. It doesn't always make sense but these formulas are extrmeely complex.
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